Does Meta-induction Justify Induction: Or Maybe Something Else?
نویسندگان
چکیده
Abstract According to the Feigl–Reichenbach–Salmon–Schurz pragmatic justification of induction, no predictive method is guaranteed or even likely work for predicting future; but if anything will work, induction work—at least when employed at meta-level methods in light their track records. One entertains a priori all manner esoteric prediction methods, and said arrive posteriori conclusion, based on actual past, that object-level optimal. Schurz’s refinements largely solve notorious short-run problem. A difficulty noted, however, related worries localized disagreement about feature characteristic real debates (especially early modern) involving intellectual history. Given evidence past events, unfiltered by , meta-induction might support partly non-inductive method—especially as judged proponents who presumably believe have worked. Thus justified meta-inductively contexts where it was uncontroversial, while not obviously key has been disputed. This objection, momentarily sensed Reichenbach regarding clairvoyance, borne out Stoics’ use justify both science divination ancient Hebrew examples meta-induction. recently introduced criteria acceptance testimony play crucial role arriving using meta-induction, one question them. need judgment accepting testimony, unclear subjectivity Howson’s Bayesian answer Hume’s problem overcome.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal for General Philosophy of Science
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['1572-8587', '0925-4560', '0044-2216']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10838-022-09620-7